The system has become slightly better organized in the past several hours, and its showers and thunderstorms have increased, according to the National Hurricane Center.
As we get closer to the end of hurricane season, we focus our attention to the western Gulf for possible development later this week.
Staff at the NHC in Miami are now monitoring a broad area of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche.
The system is expected to begin moving northeast toward the US Gulf Coast, with a potential landfall along the north-central Gulf region Saturday.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the depression now has an 80% chance of strengthening into a tropical storm, and if it does, it will be named "Tropical Storm Nestor". The next name on the list is Nestor.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Ochlockonee River, Florida, and from Grand Isle, Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River.
As of Wednesday, Oct. 15, there have been 15 tropical depressions, 13 tropical storms, five hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. On the forecast track, the system will approach the northern Gulf coast Friday and Friday night.
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect east of the Ochlockonee River to Yankeetown, Florida, and from Indian Pass, Florida, to Clearwater.
"This system has the potential to bring heavy rainfall, damaging winds and a coastal storm surge to parts of the Florida Panhandle and northwestern Florida during Saturday morning", Kottlowski said.